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On the Lp\mathbb{L}_p-error of monotonicity constrained estimators

Abstract

We aim at estimating a function λ:[0,1]R\lambda:[0,1]\to \mathbb {R}, subject to the constraint that it is decreasing (or increasing). We provide a unified approach for studying the Lp\mathbb {L}_p-loss of an estimator defined as the slope of a concave (or convex) approximation of an estimator of a primitive of λ\lambda, based on nn observations. Our main task is to prove that the Lp\mathbb {L}_p-loss is asymptotically Gaussian with explicit (though unknown) asymptotic mean and variance. We also prove that the local Lp\mathbb {L}_p-risk at a fixed point and the global Lp\mathbb {L}_p-risk are of order np/3n^{-p/3}. Applying the results to the density and regression models, we recover and generalize known results about Grenander and Brunk estimators. Also, we obtain new results for the Huang--Wellner estimator of a monotone failure rate in the random censorship model, and for an estimator of the monotone intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process.

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