Confidence intervals for the normal mean utilizing prior information
We consider that are independent and identically distributed random variables. Suppose that the parameter of interest is and also suppose that we have uncertain prior information that is close to 0. Our aim is to find a frequentist confidence interval for that utilizes this prior information. Pratt and Brown, Casella and Hwang have described such confidence intervals for the cases that is known and that is unknown respectively. These confidence intervals have the major problem that if the prior information happens to be badly incorrect (i.e. happens to be far away from 0) then these confidence intervals have very large expected lengths. In this paper we find confidence intervals for that do not suffer from this problem. For the case that is known we do this by extending the method used by Pratt. For the case that is unknown we do this using a new methodology. Our confidence intervals have the following desirable properties. They have expected lengths that (a) are relatively small when the prior information about is correct and (b) have a maximum value that is not too large. They also coincide with the corresponding standard confidence interval when the data happens to strongly contradict the prior information about .
View on arXiv