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Optimal rate of convergence for nonparametric change-point estimators for nonstationary sequences

Abstract

Let (Xi)i=1,...,n(X_i)_{i=1,...,n} be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that L(Xi)=Pn\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n if inθi\leq n\theta and L(Xi)=Qn\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n if i>nθi>n\theta, where 0<θ<10<\theta <1 is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We construct a class of estimators based on the empirical measures and a seminorm on the space of measures defined through a family of functions F\mathcal{F}. We prove the consistency of the estimator and give rates of convergence under very general conditions. In particular, the 1/n1/n rate is achieved for a wide class of processes including long-range dependent sequences and even nonstationary ones. The approach unifies, generalizes and improves on the existing results for both parametric and nonparametric change-point estimation, applied to independent, short-range dependent and as well long-range dependent sequences.

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