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Nonparametric estimation for a stochastic volatility model

Abstract

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}oftheprocess of the process Xsatisfying satisfying dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t,with, with V_taonedimensionalpositivediffusionprocessindependentoftheBrownianmotion a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion B.Forboththedriftandthediffusioncoefficientoftheunobserveddiffusion. For both the drift and the diffusion coefficient of the unobserved diffusion V,weproposenonparametricleastsquareestimators,andprovideboundsfortheirrisk.Estimatorsarechosenamongacollectionoffunctionsbelongingtoafinitedimensionalspacewhosedimensionisselectedbyadatadrivenprocedure.Implementationonsimulateddataillustrateshowthemethodworks., we propose nonparametric least square estimators, and provide bounds for theirrisk. Estimators are chosen among a collection of functions belonging to a finite dimensional space whose dimension is selected by a data driven procedure. Implementation on simulated data illustrates how the method works.

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