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Asymptotic results for sample autocovariance functions and extremes of integrated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

Abstract

We consider a positive stationary generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process \[V_t=\mathrm{e}^{-\xi_t}\biggl(\int_0^t\mathrm{e}^{\xi_{s-}}\ ,\mathrm{d}\eta_s+V_0\biggr)\qquadfor t\geq0,\] and the increments of the integrated generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process Ik=k1kVtdLtI_k=\int_{k-1}^k\sqrt{V_{t-}} \mathrm{d}L_t, kNk\in\mathbb{N}, where (ξt,ηt,Lt)t0(\xi_t,\eta_t,L_t)_{t\geq0} is a three-dimensional L\'{e}vy process independent of the starting random variable V0V_0. The genOU model is a continuous-time version of a stochastic recurrence equation. Hence, our models include, in particular, continuous-time versions of ARCH(1)\operatorname {ARCH}(1) and GARCH(1,1)\operatorname {GARCH}(1,1) processes. In this paper we investigate the asymptotic behavior of extremes and the sample autocovariance function of (Vt)t0(V_t)_{t\geq0} and (Ik)kN(I_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. Furthermore, we present a central limit result for (Ik)kN(I_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. Regular variation and point process convergence play a crucial role in establishing the statistics of (Vt)t0(V_t)_{t\geq0} and (Ik)kN(I_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}. The theory can be applied to the COGARCH(1,1)\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1) and the Nelson diffusion model.

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