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A Proof of the Bomber Problem's Spend-It-All Conjecture

Abstract

The Bomber Problem concerns optimal sequential allocation of partially effective ammunition xx while under attack from enemies arriving according to a Poisson process over a time interval of length tt. In the doubly-continuous setting, in certain regions of (x,t)(x,t)-space we are able to solve the integral equation defining the optimal survival probability and find the optimal allocation function K(x,t)K(x,t) exactly in these regions. As a consequence, we complete the proof of the "spend-it-all" conjecture of Bartroff et al. (2010b) which gives the boundary of the region where K(x,t)=xK(x,t)=x.

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