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Generalized Error Exponents For Small Sample Universal Hypothesis Testing

6 April 2012
Dayu Huang
Sean P. Meyn
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Abstract

The small sample universal hypothesis testing problem is investigated in this paper, in which the number of samples nnn is smaller than the number of possible outcomes mmm. The goal of this work is to find an appropriate criterion to analyze statistical tests in this setting. A suitable model for analysis is the high-dimensional model in which both nnn and mmm increase to infinity, and n=o(m)n=o(m)n=o(m). A new performance criterion based on large deviations analysis is proposed and it generalizes the classical error exponent applicable for large sample problems (in which m=O(n)m=O(n)m=O(n)). This generalized error exponent criterion provides insights that are not available from asymptotic consistency or central limit theorem analysis. The following results are established for the uniform null distribution: (i) The best achievable probability of error PeP_ePe​ decays as Pe=exp⁡{−(n2/m)J(1+o(1))}P_e=\exp\{-(n^2/m) J (1+o(1))\}Pe​=exp{−(n2/m)J(1+o(1))} for some J>0J>0J>0. (ii) A class of tests based on separable statistics, including the coincidence-based test, attains the optimal generalized error exponents. (iii) Pearson's chi-square test has a zero generalized error exponent and thus its probability of error is asymptotically larger than the optimal test.

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