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Testing many moment inequalities

30 December 2013
Victor Chernozhukov
Denis Chetverikov
Kengo Kato
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

This paper considers the problem of testing many moment inequalities where the number of moment inequalities, denoted by ppp, is possibly much larger than the sample size nnn. There are variety of economic applications where the problem of testing many moment inequalities appears; a notable example is the entry model of \cite{CilibertoTamer2009} where p=2m+1p=2^{m+1}p=2m+1 with mmm being the number of firms. We consider the test statistic given by the maximum of ppp Studentized (or ttt-type) statistics, and analyze various ways to compute critical values for the test. Specifically, we consider critical values based upon (i) the union (Bonferroni) bound combined with a moderate deviation inequality for self-normalized sums, (ii) the multiplier bootstrap. We also consider two step variants of (i) and (ii) by incorporating moment selection. We prove validity of these methods, showing that under mild conditions, they lead to tests with error in size decreasing polynomially in nnn while allowing for ppp being much larger than nnn; indeed ppp can be of order exp⁡(nc)\exp (n^{c})exp(nc) for some c>0c > 0c>0. Importantly, all these results hold without any restriction on correlation structure between ppp Studentized statistics, and also hold uniformly with respect to suitably wide classes of underlying distributions. We also show that all the tests developed in this paper are asymptotically minimax optimal when ppp grows with nnn.

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