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A Robbins-Monro algorithm for nonparametric estimation of functional AR process with Markov-switching

14 July 2014
L. Fermín
Ricardo Ríos
Luis Angel Rodriguez
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

We consider nonparametric estimation for functional autoregressive process with Markov switching. First, we study the case where the complete data is available; i.e. when we observe the Markov switching regime, then we estimate the regression function in each regime using a Nadaraya-Watson type estimator. Second, we introduce a nonparametric recursive algorithm in the case of hidden Markov switching regime, which restore the missing data by means Monte-Carlo step and estimate the regression functions by a Robbins-Monro step. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators are proved.

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