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Nonparametric estimation of risk measures of collective risks

Abstract

We consider two nonparametric estimators for the risk measure of the sum of nn i.i.d. individual insurance risks where the number of historical single claims that are used for the statistical estimation is of order nn. This framework matches the situation that nonlife insurance companies are faced with within in the scope of premium calculation. Indeed, the risk measure of the aggregate risk divided by nn can be seen as a suitable premium for each of the individual risks. For both estimators divided by nn we derive a sort of Marcinkiewicz--Zygmund strong law as well as a weak limit theorem. The behavior of the estimators for small to moderate nn is studied by means of Monte-Carlo simulations.

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