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On the contraction properties of some high-dimensional quasi-posterior distributions

31 August 2015
Yves F. Atchadé
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Abstract

We study the contraction properties of a quasi-posterior distribution Πˇn,d\check\Pi_{n,d}Πˇn,d​ obtained by combining a quasi-likelihood function and a sparsity inducing prior distribution on \rsetd\rset^d\rsetd, as both nnn (the sample size), and ddd (the dimension of the parameter) increase. We derive some general results that highlight a set of sufficient conditions under which Πˇn,d\check\Pi_{n,d}Πˇn,d​ puts increasingly high probability on sparse subsets of \rsetd\rset^d\rsetd, and contracts towards the true value of the parameter. We apply these results to the analysis of logistic regression models, and binary graphical models, in high-dimensional settings. For the logistic regression model, we shows that for well-behaved design matrices, the posterior distribution contracts at the rate O(s⋆log⁡(d)/n)O(\sqrt{s_\star\log(d)/n})O(s⋆​log(d)/n​), where s⋆s_\stars⋆​ is the number of non-zero components of the parameter. For the binary graphical model, under some regularity conditions, we show that a quasi-posterior analog of the neighborhood selection of \cite{meinshausen06} contracts in the Frobenius norm at the rate O((p+S)log⁡(p)/n)O(\sqrt{(p+S)\log(p)/n})O((p+S)log(p)/n​), where ppp is the number of nodes, and SSS the number of edges of the true graph.

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