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Concentration behavior of the penalized least squares estimator

27 November 2015
Alan Muro
Sara van de Geer
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

Consider the standard nonparametric regression model with true function f0f^0f0 and let f^\hat{f}f^​ be the penalized least squares estimator. Denote by τ(f^)\tau(\hat{f})τ(f^​) the trade-off between closeness to f0f^0f0 and complexity penalization of f^\hat{f}f^​, where complexity is described by a seminorm on a class of functions. We first show that τ(f^)\tau(\hat{f})τ(f^​) is concentrated with high probability around a constant depending on the sample size. Then, under some conditions and for the proper choice of the smoothing parameter, we obtain bounds for this non-random quantity. This allow us to derive explicit upper and lower bounds for τ(f^)\tau(\hat{f})τ(f^​) that hold with high probability. We illustrate our results with some examples that include the smoothing splines estimator.

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