Adaptive confidence sets in shape restricted regression

We construct adaptive confidence sets in isotonic and convex regression. In univariate isotonic regression, if the true parameter is piecewise constant with pieces, then the Least-Squares estimator achieves a parametric rate of order up to logarithmic factors. We construct honest confidence sets that adapt to the unknown number of pieces of the true parameter. The proposed confidence set enjoys uniform coverage over all non-decreasing functions. Furthermore, the squared diameter of the confidence set is of order up to logarithmic factors, which is optimal in a minimax sense. In univariate convex regression, we construct a confidence set that enjoys uniform coverage and such that its diameter is of order up to logarithmic factors, where is the number of changes of slope of the true regression function.
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