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Two-step wavelet-based estimation for mixed Gaussian fractional processes

Abstract

A mixed Gaussian fractional process {Y(t)}tR={PX(t)}tR\{Y(t)\}_{t \in {\Bbb R}} = \{PX(t)\}_{t \in {\Bbb R}} is a multivariate stochastic process obtained by pre-multiplying a vector of independent, Gaussian fractional process entries XX by a nonsingular matrix PP. It is interpreted that YY is observable, while XX is a hidden process occurring in an (unknown) system of coordinates PP. Mixed processes naturally arise as approximations to solutions of physically relevant classes of multivariate fractional SDEs under aggregation. We propose a semiparametric two-step wavelet-based method for estimating both the demixing matrix P1P^{-1} and the memory parameters of XX. The asymptotic normality of the estimators is established both in continuous and discrete time. Monte Carlo experiments show that the finite sample estimation performance is comparable to that of parametric methods, while being very computationally efficient. As applications, we model a bivariate time series of annual tree ring width measurements, and establish the asymptotic normality of the eigenstructure of sample wavelet matrices.

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