93
22

Asymptotic frequentist coverage properties of Bayesian credible sets for sieve priors in general settings

Abstract

We investigate the frequentist coverage properties of Bayesian credible sets in a general, adaptive, nonparametric framework. It is well known that the construction of adaptive and honest confidence sets is not possible in general. To overcome this problem we introduce an extra assumption on the functional parameters, the so called "general polished tail" condition. We then show that under standard assumptions both the hierarchical and empirical Bayes methods give adaptive and honest confidence sets for sieve type of priors in general settings. We apply the derived abstract results to various examples, including the nonparametric regression model, density estimation using exponential families of priors, density estimation using histogram priors and nonparametric classification model.

View on arXiv
Comments on this paper