A nonparametric sequential test for online randomized experiments
The Web Conference (WWW), 2016
Abstract
We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type error inflation under continuous monitoring. The proposed test does not require knowledge of the underlying probability distribution generating the data. We use the bootstrap to estimate the likelihood for blocks of data followed by mixture sequential probability ratio test. We validate this procedure on data from a major online e-commerce website and show that the proposed test controls type error at any time, has good power, and allows quick inference in online randomized experiments.
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