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An Elementary Analysis of the Probability That a Binomial Random Variable Exceeds Its Expectation

1 December 2017
Benjamin Doerr
    LRM
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

We give an elementary proof of the fact that a binomial random variable XXX with parameters nnn and 0.29/n≤p<10.29/n \le p < 10.29/n≤p<1 with probability at least 1/41/41/4 strictly exceeds its expectation. We also show that for 1/n≤p<1−1/n1/n \le p < 1 - 1/n1/n≤p<1−1/n, XXX exceeds its expectation by more than one with probability at least 0.03700.03700.0370. Both probabilities approach 1/21/21/2 when npnpnp and n(1−p)n(1-p)n(1−p) tend to infinity.

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