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Inference for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes with periodic mean in the non-ergodic case

19 March 2019
Radomyra Shevchenko
Jeannette H. C. Woerner
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

In the paper we consider the problem of estimating parameters entering the drift of a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process in the non-ergodic case, when the underlying stochastic integral is of Young type. We consider the sampling scheme that the process is observed continuously on [0,T][0,T][0,T] and T→∞T\to\inftyT→∞. For known Hurst parameter H∈(0.5,1)H\in(0.5, 1)H∈(0.5,1), i.e. the long range dependent case, we construct a least-squares type estimator and establish strong consistency. Furthermore, we prove a second order limit theorem which provides asymptotic normality for the parameters of the periodic function with a rate depending on HHH and a non-central Cauchy limit result for the mean reverting parameter with exponential rate. For the special case that the periodicity parameter is the weight of a periodic function, which integrates to zero over the period, we can even improve the rate to T\sqrt{T}T​.

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