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Super-Consistent Estimation of Points of Impact in Nonparametric Regression with Functional Predictors

Hedwig Eisenbarth
Tor D. Wager
Abstract

Predicting scalar outcomes using functional predictors is a classic problem in functional data analysis. In many applications, however, only specific locations or time-points of the functional predictors have an impact on the outcome. Such ``points of impact'' are typically unknown and have to be estimated in addition to estimating the usual model components. We show that our points of impact estimator enjoys a super-consistent convergence rate and does not require knowledge or pre-estimates of the unknown model components. This remarkable result facilitates the subsequent estimation of the remaining model components as shown in the theoretical part, where we consider the case of nonparametric models and the practically relevant case of generalized linear models. The finite sample properties of our estimators are assessed by means of a simulation study. Our methodology is motivated by data from a psychological experiment in which the participants were asked to continuously rate their emotional state while watching an affective video eliciting a varying intensity of emotional reactions.

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