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Nonregular and Minimax Estimation of Individualized Thresholds in High Dimension with Binary Responses

Annals of Statistics (Ann. Stat.), 2019
Abstract

Given a large number of covariates ZZ, we consider the estimation of a high-dimensional parameter θ\theta in an individualized linear threshold θTZ\theta^T Z for a continuous variable XX, which minimizes the disagreement between sign(XθTZ)\text{sign}(X-\theta^TZ) and a binary response YY. While the problem can be formulated into the M-estimation framework, minimizing the corresponding empirical risk function is computationally intractable due to discontinuity of the sign function. Moreover, estimating θ\theta even in the fixed-dimensional setting is known as a nonregular problem leading to nonstandard asymptotic theory. To tackle the computational and theoretical challenges in the estimation of the high-dimensional parameter θ\theta, we propose an empirical risk minimization approach based on a regularized smoothed loss function. The statistical and computational trade-off of the algorithm is investigated. Statistically, we show that the finite sample error bound for estimating θ\theta in 2\ell_2 norm is (slogd/n)β/(2β+1)(s\log d/n)^{\beta/(2\beta+1)}, where dd is the dimension of θ\theta, ss is the sparsity level, nn is the sample size and β\beta is the smoothness of the conditional density of XX given the response YY and the covariates ZZ. The convergence rate is nonstandard and slower than that in the classical Lasso problems. Furthermore, we prove that the resulting estimator is minimax rate optimal up to a logarithmic factor. The Lepski's method is developed to achieve the adaption to the unknown sparsity ss and smoothness β\beta. Computationally, an efficient path-following algorithm is proposed to compute the solution path. We show that this algorithm achieves geometric rate of convergence for computing the whole path. Finally, we evaluate the finite sample performance of the proposed estimator in simulation studies and a real data analysis.

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