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The eigenstructure of the sample covariance matrices of high-dimensional stochastic volatility models with heavy tails

14 January 2020
Johannes Heiny
T. Mikosch
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

We consider a ppp-dimensional time series where the dimension ppp increases with the sample size nnn. The resulting data matrix XXX follows a stochastic volatility model: each entry consists of a positive random volatility term multiplied by an independent noise term. The volatility multipliers introduce dependence in each row and across the rows. We study the asymptotic behavior of the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the sample covariance matrix XX′XX'XX′ under a regular variation assumption on the noise. In particular, we prove Poisson convergence for the point process of the centered and normalized eigenvalues and derive limit theory for functionals acting on them, such as the trace. We prove related results for stochastic volatility models with additional linear dependence structure and for stochastic volatility models where the time-varying volatility terms are extinguished with high probability when nnn increases. We provide explicit approximations of the eigenvectors which are of a strikingly simple structure. The main tools for proving these results are large deviation theorems for heavy-tailed time series, advocating a unified approach to the study of the eigenstructure of heavy-tailed random matrices.

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