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On Symmetrized Pearson's Type Test in Autoregression with Outliers: Robust Testing of Normality

Abstract

We consider a stationary linear AR(pp) model with observations subject to gross errors (outliers). The autoregression parameters are unknown as well as the distribution and moments of innoovations. The distribution of outliers Π\Pi is unknown and arbitrary, their intensity is γn1/2\gamma n^{-1/2} with an unknown γ\gamma, nn is the sample size. The autoregression parameters are estimated by any estimator which is n1/2n^{1/2}-consistent uniformly in γΓ<\gamma\leq \Gamma<\infty. Using the residuals from the estimated autoregression, we construct a kind of empirical distribution function (e.d.f.), which is a counterpart of the (inaccessible) e.d.f. of the autoregression innovations. We obtain a stochastic expansion of this e.d.f., which enables us to construct the symmetrized test of Pearson's chi-square type for the normality of distribution of innovations. We establish qualitative robustness of these tests in terms of uniform equicontinuity of the limiting levels (as functions of γ\gamma and Π\Pi) with respect to γ\gamma in a neighborhood of γ=0\gamma=0.

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