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Testing Conditional Independence via Quantile Regression Based Partial Copulas

29 March 2020
Lasse Petersen
N. Hansen
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables XXX and YYY conditional on a third random vector ZZZ in terms of nonparametric residuals U1U_1U1​ and U2U_2U2​. This paper develops a nonparametric test for conditional independence by combining the partial copula with a quantile regression based method for estimating the nonparametric residuals. We consider a test statistic based on generalized correlation between U1U_1U1​ and U2U_2U2​ and derive its large sample properties under consistency assumptions on the quantile regression procedure. We demonstrate through a simulation study that the resulting test is sound under complicated data generating distributions. Moreover, it is competitive to or better than other state-of-the-art conditional independence tests in terms of level and power.

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