ResearchTrend.AI
  • Communities
  • Connect sessions
  • AI calendar
  • Organizations
  • Join Slack
  • Contact Sales
Papers
Communities
Social Events
Terms and Conditions
Pricing
Contact Sales
Parameter LabParameter LabTwitterGitHubLinkedInBlueskyYoutube

© 2025 ResearchTrend.AI, All rights reserved.

  1. Home
  2. Papers
  3. 2009.09993
132
3
v1v2v3v4 (latest)

Machine Learning Classification of Price Extrema Based on Market Microstructure Features: A Case Study of S&P500 E-mini Futures

Expert systems with applications (ESWA), 2020
21 September 2020
A. Sokolovsky
Luca Arnaboldi
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

The study introduces an automated trading system for S\&P500 E-mini futures (ES) based on state-of-the-art machine learning. Concretely: we extract a set of scenarios from the tick market data to train the model and further use the predictions to model trading. We define the scenarios from the local extrema of the price action. Price extrema is a commonly traded pattern, however, to the best of our knowledge, there is no study presenting a pipeline for automated classification and profitability evaluation. Our study is filling this gap by presenting a broad evaluation of the approach showing the resulting average Sharpe ratio of 6.32. However, we do not take into account order execution queues, which of course affect the result in the live-trading setting. The obtained performance results give us confidence that this approach is worthwhile.

View on arXiv
Comments on this paper