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On the distribution of the sum of dependent standard normally distributed random variables using copulas

Abstract

The distribution function of the sum ZZ of two standard normally distributed random variables XX and YY is computed with the concept of copulas to model the dependency between XX and YY. By using implicit copulas such as the Gauss- or t-copula as well as Archimedean Copulas such as the Clayton-, Gumbel- or Frank-copula, a wide variety of different dependencies can be covered. For each of these copulas an analytical closed form expression for the corresponding joint probability density function fX,Yf_{X,Y} is derived. We apply a numerical approximation algorithm in Matlab to evaluate the resulting double integral for the cumulative distribution function FZF_Z. Our results demonstrate, that there are significant differencies amongst the various copulas concerning FZF_Z. This is particularly true for the higher quantiles (e.g. 0.95,0.990.95, 0.99), where deviations of more than 10%10\% have been noticed.

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