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Dispersal density estimation across scales

Abstract

We consider a space structured population model generated by two point clouds: a homogeneous Poisson process MM with intensity nn\to\infty as a model for a parent generation together with a Cox point process NN as offspring generation, with conditional intensity given by the convolution of MM with a scaled dispersal density σ1f(/σ)\sigma^{-1}f(\cdot/\sigma). Based on a realisation of MM and NN, we study the nonparametric estimation of ff and the estimation of the physical scale parameter σ>0\sigma>0 simultaneously for all regimes σ=σn\sigma=\sigma_n. We establish that the optimal rates of convergence do not depend monotonously on the scale and we construct minimax estimators accordingly whether σ\sigma is known or considered as a nuisance, in which case we can estimate it and achieve asymptotic minimaxity by plug-in. The statistical reconstruction exhibits a competition between a direct and a deconvolution problem. Our study reveals in particular the existence of a least favourable intermediate inference scale, a phenomenon that seems to be new.

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