Dispersal density estimation across scales

We consider a space structured population model generated by two point clouds: a homogeneous Poisson process with intensity as a model for a parent generation together with a Cox point process as offspring generation, with conditional intensity given by the convolution of with a scaled dispersal density . Based on a realisation of and , we study the nonparametric estimation of and the estimation of the physical scale parameter simultaneously for all regimes . We establish that the optimal rates of convergence do not depend monotonously on the scale and we construct minimax estimators accordingly whether is known or considered as a nuisance, in which case we can estimate it and achieve asymptotic minimaxity by plug-in. The statistical reconstruction exhibits a competition between a direct and a deconvolution problem. Our study reveals in particular the existence of a least favourable intermediate inference scale, a phenomenon that seems to be new.
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