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Online non-parametric change-point detection for heterogeneous data streams observed over graph nodes

Abstract

Consider a heterogeneous data stream being generated by the nodes of a graph. The data stream is in essence composed by multiple streams, possibly of different nature that depends on each node. At a given moment τ\tau, a change-point occurs for a subset of nodes CC, signifying the change in the probability distribution of their associated streams. In this paper we propose an online non-parametric method to infer τ\tau based on the direct estimation of the likelihood-ratio between the post-change and the pre-change distribution associated with the data stream of each node. We propose a kernel-based method, under the hypothesis that connected nodes of the graph are expected to have similar likelihood-ratio estimates when there is no change-point. We demonstrate the quality of our method on synthetic experiments and real-world applications.

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