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Change Detection of Markov Kernels with Unknown Pre and Post Change Kernel

27 January 2022
Hao Chen
Jiacheng Tang
Abhishek Gupta
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Abstract

In this paper, we develop a new change detection algorithm for detecting a change in the Markov kernel over a metric space in which the post-change kernel is unknown. Under the assumption that the pre- and post-change Markov kernel is uniformly ergodic, we derive an upper bound on the mean delay and a lower bound on the mean time between false alarms. A numerical simulation is provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

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