36
v1v2 (latest)

Cramér's moderate deviations for martingales with applications

Abstract

Let (ξi,Fi)i1(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1} be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\ér's moderate deviation expansions for P(Xn/Xnx)\displaystyle \mathbf{P}(X_n/\sqrt{\langle X\rangle_n} \geq x) and P(Xn/EXn2x)\displaystyle \mathbf{P}(X_n/\sqrt{ \mathbf{E}X_n^2} \geq x) as n.n\to\infty. Our results extend the classical Cram\'{e}r result to the cases of normalized martingales Xn/XnX_n/\sqrt{\langle X\rangle_n} and standardized martingales Xn/EXn2X_n/\sqrt{ \mathbf{E}X_n^2}, with martingale differences satisfying the conditional Bernstein condition. Applications to elephant random walks and autoregressive processes are also discussed.

View on arXiv
Comments on this paper