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Mean-Field Nonparametric Estimation of Interacting Particle Systems

Abstract

This paper concerns the nonparametric estimation problem of the distribution-state dependent drift vector field in an interacting NN-particle system. Observing single-trajectory data for each particle, we derive the mean-field rate of convergence for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), which depends on both Gaussian complexity and Rademacher complexity of the function class. In particular, when the function class contains α\alpha-smooth H{\"o}lder functions, our rate of convergence is minimax optimal on the order of Nαd+2αN^{-\frac{\alpha}{d+2\alpha}}. Combining with a Fourier analytical deconvolution argument, we derive the consistency of MLE for the external force and interaction kernel in the McKean-Vlasov equation.

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