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BayesLDM: A Domain-Specific Language for Probabilistic Modeling of Longitudinal Data

12 September 2022
Ka-Yee Tung
Steven De La Torre
Mohamed El Mistiri
Rebecca Braga De Braganca
Eric B. Hekler
Misha Pavel
D. Rivera
Pedja Klasnja
D. Spruijt-Metz
Benjamin M. Marlin
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Abstract

In this paper we present BayesLDM, a system for Bayesian longitudinal data modeling consisting of a high-level modeling language with specific features for modeling complex multivariate time series data coupled with a compiler that can produce optimized probabilistic program code for performing inference in the specified model. BayesLDM supports modeling of Bayesian network models with a specific focus on the efficient, declarative specification of dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). The BayesLDM compiler combines a model specification with inspection of available data and outputs code for performing Bayesian inference for unknown model parameters while simultaneously handling missing data. These capabilities have the potential to significantly accelerate iterative modeling workflows in domains that involve the analysis of complex longitudinal data by abstracting away the process of producing computationally efficient probabilistic inference code. We describe the BayesLDM system components, evaluate the efficiency of representation and inference optimizations and provide an illustrative example of the application of the system to analyzing heterogeneous and partially observed mobile health data.

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