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Calibrated Forecasts: The Minimax Proof

13 September 2022
S. Hart
    AI4TS
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

A formal write-up of the simple proof (1995) of the existence of calibrated forecasts by the minimax theorem, which moreover shows that N3N^3N3 periods suffice to guarantee a calibration error of at most 1/N1/N1/N.

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