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Mean-variance constrained priors have finite maximum Bayes risk in the normal location model

Abstract

Consider a normal location model XθN(θ,σ2)X \mid \theta \sim N(\theta, \sigma^2) with known σ2\sigma^2. Suppose θG0\theta \sim G_0, where the prior G0G_0 has zero mean and unit variance. Let G1G_1 be a possibly misspecified prior with zero mean and unit variance. We show that the squared error Bayes risk of the posterior mean under G1G_1 is bounded, uniformly over G0,G1,σ2>0G_0, G_1, \sigma^2 > 0.

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