Dropout Regularization Versus $\ell_2$-Penalization in the Linear Model

We investigate the statistical behavior of gradient descent iterates with dropout in the linear regression model. In particular, non-asymptotic bounds for expectations and covariance matrices of the iterates are derived. In contrast with the widely cited connection between dropout and $\ell_2$-regularization in expectation, the results indicate a much more subtle relationship, owing to interactions between the gradient descent dynamics and the additional randomness induced by dropout. We also study a simplified variant of dropout which does not have a regularizing effect and converges to the least squares estimator.