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Experimental Designs for Heteroskedastic Variance

6 October 2023
Justin Weltz
Tanner Fiez
Alex Volfovsky
Eric B. Laber
Blake Mason
Houssam Nassif
Lalit P. Jain
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Abstract

Most linear experimental design problems assume homogeneous variance although heteroskedastic noise is present in many realistic settings. Let a learner have access to a finite set of measurement vectors X⊂Rd\mathcal{X}\subset \mathbb{R}^dX⊂Rd that can be probed to receive noisy linear responses of the form y=x⊤θ∗+ηy=x^{\top}\theta^{\ast}+\etay=x⊤θ∗+η. Here θ∗∈Rd\theta^{\ast}\in \mathbb{R}^dθ∗∈Rd is an unknown parameter vector, and η\etaη is independent mean-zero σx2\sigma_x^2σx2​-sub-Gaussian noise defined by a flexible heteroskedastic variance model, σx2=x⊤Σ∗x\sigma_x^2 = x^{\top}\Sigma^{\ast}xσx2​=x⊤Σ∗x. Assuming that Σ∗∈Rd×d\Sigma^{\ast}\in \mathbb{R}^{d\times d}Σ∗∈Rd×d is an unknown matrix, we propose, analyze and empirically evaluate a novel design for uniformly bounding estimation error of the variance parameters, σx2\sigma_x^2σx2​. We demonstrate the benefits of this method with two adaptive experimental design problems under heteroskedastic noise, fixed confidence transductive best-arm identification and level-set identification and prove the first instance-dependent lower bounds in these settings. Lastly, we construct near-optimal algorithms and demonstrate the large improvements in sample complexity gained from accounting for heteroskedastic variance in these designs empirically.

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