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Moment-dependent phase transitions in high-dimensional Gaussian approximations

Abstract

High-dimensional central limit theorems have been intensively studied with most focus being on the case where the data is sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential. However, heavier tails are omnipresent in practice. In this article, we study the critical growth rates of dimension dd below which Gaussian approximations are asymptotically valid but beyond which they are not. We are particularly interested in how these thresholds depend on the number of moments mm that the observations possess. For every m(2,)m\in(2,\infty), we construct i.i.d. random vectors X1,...,Xn\textbf{X}_1,...,\textbf{X}_n in Rd\mathbb{R}^d, the entries of which are independent and have a common distribution (independent of nn and dd) with finite mmth absolute moment, and such that the following holds: if there exists an ε(0,)\varepsilon\in(0,\infty) such that d/nm/21+ε↛0d/n^{m/2-1+\varepsilon}\not\to 0, then the Gaussian approximation error (GAE) satisfies lim supnsuptR[P(max1jd1ni=1nXijt)P(max1jdZjt)]=1, \limsup_{n\to\infty}\sup_{t\in\mathbb{R}}\left[\mathbb{P}\left(\max_{1\leq j\leq d}\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}\sum_{i=1}^n\textbf{X}_{ij}\leq t\right)-\mathbb{P}\left(\max_{1\leq j\leq d}\textbf{Z}_j\leq t\right)\right]=1, where ZNd(0d,Id)\textbf{Z} \sim \mathsf{N}_d(\textbf{0}_d,\mathbf{I}_d). On the other hand, a result in Chernozhukov et al. (2023a) implies that the left-hand side above is zero if just d/nm/21ε0d/n^{m/2-1-\varepsilon}\to 0 for some ε(0,)\varepsilon\in(0,\infty). In this sense, there is a moment-dependent phase transition at the threshold d=nm/21d=n^{m/2-1} above which the limiting GAE jumps from zero to one.

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