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Convergence of opinions

International Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications (ISCPPA), 2023
Abstract

This paper establishes a game-theoretic version of the classical Blackwell-Dubins result. We consider two forecasters who at each step issue probability forecasts for the infinite future. Our result says that either at least one of the two forecasters will be discredited or their forecasts will converge in total variation.

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