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Estimation of trace functionals and spectral measures of covariance operators in Gaussian models

Abstract

Let f:R+Rf:{\mathbb R}_+\mapsto {\mathbb R} be a smooth function with f(0)=0.f(0)=0. A problem of estimation of a functional τf(Σ):=tr(f(Σ))\tau_f(\Sigma):= {\rm tr}(f(\Sigma)) of unknown covariance operator Σ\Sigma in a separable Hilbert space H{\mathbb H} based on i.i.d. mean zero Gaussian observations X1,,XnX_1,\dots, X_n with values in H{\mathbb H} and covariance operator Σ\Sigma is studied. Let Σ^n\hat \Sigma_n be the sample covariance operator based on observations X1,,Xn.X_1,\dots, X_n. Estimators \begin{align*} T_{f,m}(X_1,\dots, X_n):= \sum_{j=1}^m C_j \tau_f(\hat \Sigma_{n_j}) \end{align*} based on linear aggregation of several plug-in estimators τf(Σ^nj),\tau_f(\hat \Sigma_{n_j}), where the sample sizes n/cn1<<nmnn/c\leq n_1<\dots<n_m\leq n and coefficients C1,,CnC_1,\dots, C_n are chosen to reduce the bias, are considered. The complexity of the problem is characterized by the effective rank r(Σ):=tr(Σ)Σ{\bf r}(\Sigma):= \frac{{\rm tr}(\Sigma)}{\|\Sigma\|} of covariance operator Σ.\Sigma. It is shown that, if fCm+1(R+)f\in C^{m+1}({\mathbb R}_+) for some m2,m\geq 2, fL1,\|f''\|_{L_{\infty}}\lesssim 1, f(m+1)L1,\|f^{(m+1)}\|_{L_{\infty}}\lesssim 1, Σ1\|\Sigma\|\lesssim 1 and r(Σ)n,{\bf r}(\Sigma)\lesssim n, then \begin{align*} & \|\hat T_{f,m}(X_1,\dots, X_n)-\tau_f(\Sigma)\|_{L_2} \lesssim_m \frac{\|\Sigma f'(\Sigma)\|_2}{\sqrt{n}} + \frac{{\bf r}(\Sigma)}{n}+ {\bf r}(\Sigma)\Bigl(\sqrt{\frac{{\bf r}(\Sigma)}{n}}\Bigr)^{m+1}. \end{align*} Similar bounds have been proved for the LpL_{p}-errors and some other Orlicz norm errors of estimator T^f,m(X1,,Xn).\hat T_{f,m}(X_1,\dots, X_n). The optimality of these error rates, other estimators for which asymptotic efficiency is achieved and uniform bounds over classes of smooth test functions ff are also discussed.

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