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Causal Responder Detection

25 June 2024
Tzviel Frostig
Oshri Machluf
Amitay Kamber
Elad Berkman
Raviv Pryluk
    CML
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Abstract

We introduce the causal responders detection (CARD), a novel method for responder analysis that identifies treated subjects who significantly respond to a treatment. Leveraging recent advances in conformal prediction, CARD employs machine learning techniques to accurately identify responders while controlling the false discovery rate in finite sample sizes. Additionally, we incorporate a propensity score adjustment to mitigate bias arising from non-random treatment allocation, enhancing the robustness of our method in observational settings. Simulation studies demonstrate that CARD effectively detects responders with high power in diverse scenarios.

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