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A Point on Discrete versus Continuous State-Space Markov Chains

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Abstract

This paper examines the impact of discrete marginal distributions on copula-based Markov chains. We present results on mixing and parameter estimation for a copula-based Markov chain model with Bernoulli(pp) marginal distribution and highlight the differences between continuous and discrete state-space Markov chains. We derive estimators for model parameters using the maximum likelihood approach and discuss other estimators of pp that are asymptotically equivalent to its maximum likelihood estimator. The asymptotic distributions of the parameter estimators are provided. A simulation study showcases the performance of the different estimators of pp. Additionally, statistical tests for model parameters are included.

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