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Growth-Optimal E-Variables and an extension to the multivariate Csiszár-Sanov-Chernoff Theorem

23 December 2024
Peter Grunwald
Yunda Hao
Akshay Balsubramani
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

We consider growth-optimal e-variables with maximal e-power, both in an absolute and relative sense, for simple null hypotheses for a ddd-dimensional random vector, and multivariate composite alternatives represented as a set of ddd-dimensional means \meanspace1\meanspace_1\meanspace1​. These include, among others, the set of all distributions with mean in \meanspace1\meanspace_1\meanspace1​, and the exponential family generated by the null restricted to means in \meanspace1\meanspace_1\meanspace1​. We show how these optimal e-variables are related to Csisz\'ar-Sanov-Chernoff bounds, first for the case that \meanspace1\meanspace_1\meanspace1​ is convex (these results are not new; we merely reformulate them) and then for the case that \meanspace1\meanspace_1\meanspace1​ `surrounds' the null hypothesis (these results are new).

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