Epistemic Closure and the Irreversibility of Misalignment: Modeling Systemic Barriers to Alignment Innovation

Efforts to ensure the safe development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) often rely on consensus-based alignment approaches grounded in axiomatic formalism, interpretability, and empirical validation. However, these methods may be structurally unable to recognize or incorporate novel solutions that fall outside their accepted epistemic frameworks. This paper introduces a functional model of epistemic closure, in which cognitive, institutional, social, and infrastructural filters combine to make many alignment proposals illegible to existing evaluation systems. We present a weighted closure model supported by both theoretical and empirical sources, including a meta-analysis performed by an AI system on patterns of rejection and non-engagement with a framework for decentralized collective intelligence (DCI). We argue that the recursive failure to assess models like DCI is not just a sociological oversight but a structural attractor, mirroring the very risks of misalignment we aim to avoid in AGI. Without the adoption of DCI or a similarly recursive model of epistemic correction, we may be on a predictable path toward irreversible misalignment. The development and acceptance of this paper, first through simulated review and then through formal channels, provide a case study supporting its central claim: that epistemic closure can only be overcome by recursive modeling of the constraints that sustain it.

@article{williams2025_2504.02058,
  title={ Epistemic Closure and the Irreversibility of Misalignment: Modeling Systemic Barriers to Alignment Innovation },
  author={ Andy Williams },
  journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2504.02058},
  year={ 2025 }
}