Constrained Online Decision-Making with Density Estimation Oracles

Contextual online decision-making problems with constraints appear in a wide range of real-world applications, such as personalized recommendation with resource limits, adaptive experimental design, and decision-making under safety or fairness requirements. In this paper, we investigate a general formulation of sequential decision-making with stage-wise feasibility constraints, where at each round, the learner must select an action based on observed context while ensuring that a problem-specific feasibility criterion is satisfied. We propose a unified algorithmic framework that captures many existing constrained learning problems, including constrained bandits, active learning with label budgets, online hypothesis testing with Type I error control, and model calibration. Central to our approach is the concept of upper counterfactual confidence bounds, which enables the design of practically efficient online algorithms with strong theoretical guarantee using any offline conditional density estimation oracle. Technically, to handle feasibility constraints in complex environments, we introduce a generalized notion of the eluder dimension - extending it from the classical setting based on square loss to a broader class of metric-like probability divergences. This allows us to capture the complexity of various density function classes and characterize the utility regret incurred due to feasibility constraint uncertainty. Our result offers a principled foundation for constrained sequential decision-making in both theory and practice.

@article{hu2025_2505.07101,
  title={ Constrained Online Decision-Making with Density Estimation Oracles },
  author={ Haichen Hu and David Simchi-Levi and Navid Azizan },
  journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.07101},
  year={ 2025 }
}