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Bridging the Unavoidable A Priori: A Framework for Comparative Causal Modeling

26 November 2025
Peter S. Hovmand
Kari O'Donnell
Callie Ogland-Hand
Brian Biroscak
Douglas D. Gunzler
    CML
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Main:24 Pages
10 Figures
Bibliography:3 Pages
7 Tables
Abstract

AI/ML models have rapidly gained prominence as innovations for solving previously unsolved problems and their unintended consequences from amplifying human biases. Advocates for responsible AI/ML have sought ways to draw on the richer causal models of system dynamics to better inform the development of responsible AI/ML. However, a major barrier to advancing this work is the difficulty of bringing together methods rooted in different underlying assumptions (i.e., Dana Meadow's "the unavoidable a priori"). This paper brings system dynamics and structural equation modeling together into a common mathematical framework that can be used to generate systems from distributions, develop methods, and compare results to inform the underlying epistemology of system dynamics for data science and AI/ML applications.

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