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Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts
v1v2 (latest)

Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts

4 December 2009
T. Gneiting
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML

Papers citing "Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts"

27 / 127 papers shown
Title
Properization: Constructing Proper Scoring Rules via Bayes Acts
Properization: Constructing Proper Scoring Rules via Bayes Acts
Jonas R. Brehmer
T. Gneiting
41
14
0
19 Jun 2018
On the Indirect Elicitability of the Mode and Modal Interval
On the Indirect Elicitability of the Mode and Modal Interval
Krisztina Dearborn
Rafael Frongillo
31
1
0
20 Apr 2018
Multi-Observation Regression
Multi-Observation Regression
Rafael Frongillo
Nishant A. Mehta
Tom Morgan
Bo Waggoner
OOD
20
1
0
27 Feb 2018
Distinguishing Cause from Effect Using Quantiles: Bivariate Quantile
  Causal Discovery
Distinguishing Cause from Effect Using Quantiles: Bivariate Quantile Causal Discovery
Natasa Tagasovska
V. Chavez-Demoulin
Thibault Vatter
CML
130
10
0
31 Jan 2018
Probabilistic supervised learning
Probabilistic supervised learning
Frithjof Gressmann
Franz J. Király
Bilal A. Mateen
Harald Oberhauser
60
15
0
02 Jan 2018
Order-Sensitivity and Equivariance of Scoring Functions
Order-Sensitivity and Equivariance of Scoring Functions
Tobias Fissler
J. Ziegel
36
28
0
27 Nov 2017
Elicitability and its Application in Risk Management
Elicitability and its Application in Risk Management
Jonas R. Brehmer
51
15
0
30 Jul 2017
Forecast dominance testing via sign randomization
Forecast dominance testing via sign randomization
W. Ehm
Fabian Kruger
66
5
0
10 Jul 2017
Multi-Observation Elicitation
Multi-Observation Elicitation
Sebastian Casalaina-Martin
Rafael Frongillo
Tom Morgan
Bo Waggoner
34
7
0
05 Jun 2017
A Joint Quantile and Expected Shortfall Regression Framework
A Joint Quantile and Expected Shortfall Regression Framework
Timo Dimitriadis
Sebastian Bayer
55
52
0
07 Apr 2017
Nonlinear network-based quantitative trait prediction from
  transcriptomic data
Nonlinear network-based quantitative trait prediction from transcriptomic data
Emilie Devijver
M. Gallopin
Émeline Perthame
74
8
0
26 Jan 2017
Asymptotics for the expected shortfall
Asymptotics for the expected shortfall
Tobias Zwingmann
H. Holzmann
34
6
0
22 Nov 2016
Achieving Shrinkage in a Time-Varying Parameter Model Framework
Achieving Shrinkage in a Time-Varying Parameter Model Framework
A. Bitto
Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter
44
160
0
04 Nov 2016
Whole-brain substitute CT generation using Markov random field mixture
  models
Whole-brain substitute CT generation using Markov random field mixture models
A. Hildeman
David Bolin
J. Wallin
A. Johansson
T. Nyholm
T. Asklund
Jun Yu
MedIm
19
5
0
07 Jul 2016
Empirical AUC for evaluating probabilistic forecasts
Empirical AUC for evaluating probabilistic forecasts
Simon Byrne
AI4TS
98
25
0
22 Aug 2015
Representation of Quasi-Monotone Functionals by Families of Separating
  Hyperplanes
Representation of Quasi-Monotone Functionals by Families of Separating Hyperplanes
Ingo Steinwart
25
0
0
21 Aug 2015
Elicitation Complexity of Statistical Properties
Elicitation Complexity of Statistical Properties
Rafael Frongillo
Ian A. Kash
45
7
0
23 Jun 2015
Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet
  Representations, and Forecast Rankings
Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet Representations, and Forecast Rankings
W. Ehm
T. Gneiting
Alexander I. Jordan
Fabian Kruger
AI4TS
81
166
0
27 Mar 2015
Higher order elicitability and Osband's principle
Higher order elicitability and Osband's principle
Tobias Fissler
J. Ziegel
79
328
0
27 Mar 2015
Asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian
  processes in the misspecified case
Asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes in the misspecified case
François Bachoc
118
31
0
05 Dec 2014
Dominating countably many forecasts
Dominating countably many forecasts
M. Schervish
Teddy Seidenfeld
J. Kadane
38
12
0
26 May 2014
Quasi-Hadamard differentiability of general risk functionals and its
  application
Quasi-Hadamard differentiability of general risk functionals and its application
Volker Krätschmer
A. Schied
Henryk Zähle
84
18
0
14 Jan 2014
Parallel and other simulations in R made easy: An end-to-end study
Parallel and other simulations in R made easy: An end-to-end study
Marius Hofert
M. Machler
53
21
0
17 Sep 2013
Infinite Previsions and Finitely Additive Expectations
Infinite Previsions and Finitely Additive Expectations
M. Schervish
Teddy Seidenfeld
J. Kadane
AI4CE
39
5
0
30 Aug 2013
Coherence and elicitability
Coherence and elicitability
J. Ziegel
104
335
0
07 Mar 2013
On the Cover-Hart Inequality: What's a Sample of Size One Worth?
On the Cover-Hart Inequality: What's a Sample of Size One Worth?
T. Gneiting
35
1
0
15 Jun 2012
Composite Binary Losses
Composite Binary Losses
Mark D. Reid
Robert C. Williamson
170
223
0
17 Dec 2009
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