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On the relation between the distributions of stopping time and stopped sum with applications

Abstract

Let T\ be a stopping time associated with a sequence of independent random variables Z1,Z2,...Z_{1},Z_{2},... . By applying a suitable change in the probability measure we present relations between the moment or probability generating functions of the stopping time TT and the stopped sum %S_{T}=Z_{1}+Z_{2}+...+Z_{T}. These relations imply that, when the distribution of STS_{T}\ is known, then the distribution of TT\ is also known and vice versa. Applications are offered in order to illustrate the applicability of the main results, which also have independent interest. In the first one we consider a random walk with exponentially distributed up and down steps and derive the distribution of its first exit time from an interval (a,b).(-a,b). In the second application we consider a series of samples from a manufacturing process and we let Zi,i1Z_{i},i\geq 1, denoting the number of non-conforming products in the ii-th sample. We derive the joint distribution of the random vector (T,ST)(T,S_{T}), where TT is the waiting time until the sampling level of the inspection changes based on a kk-run switching rule. Finally, we demonstrate how the joint distribution of %(T,S_{T}) can be used for the estimation of the probability pp of an item being defective, by employing an EM algorithm.

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