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On the relation between the distributions of stopping time and stopped sum via Wald's Identity with applications

Abstract

Let TT be a stopping time associated with a sequence of independent random variables Z1,Z2,...Z_{1},Z_{2},... . By employing a version of Wald's likelihood ratio identity we present relations between the moment or probability generating functions of the stopping time TT and the stopped sum ST=Z1+Z2+...+ZT% S_{T}=Z_{1}+Z_{2}+...+Z_{T}. These relations imply that, when the distribution of STS_{T} is known (for all probability measures derived after exponentially tilting the original probability measure), then the distribution of TT is also known and vice versa. Two applications are offered in order to illustrate the applicability of the main results, which also have independent interest. In the first one we consider a random walk with exponentially distributed up and down steps and derive the distribution of its first exit time from an interval (a,b).(-a,b). In the second application we consider a series of samples from a manufacturing process and we let % Z_{i},i\geq 1, denoting the number of non-conforming products in the ii-th sample. We derive the joint distribution of the random vector (T,ST)(T,S_{T}), where TT is the waiting time until the sampling level of the inspection changes based on a kk-run switching rule.

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