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On Bayesian credible sets in restricted parameter space problems and lower bounds for frequentist coverage

Abstract

For estimating a lower bounded parametric function in the framework of Marchand and Strawderman (2006), we provide through a unified approach a class of Bayesian confidence intervals with credibility 1α1-\alpha and frequentist coverage probability bounded below by 1α1+α\frac{1-\alpha}{1+\alpha}. In cases where the underlying pivotal distribution is symmetric, the findings represent extensions with respect to the specification of the credible set achieved through the choice of a {\it spending function}, and include Marchand and Strawderman's HPD procedure result. For non-symmetric cases, the determination of a such a class of Bayesian credible sets fills a gap in the literature and includes an "equal-tails" modification of the HPD procedure. Several examples are presented demonstrating wide applicability.

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