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A note on Bayesian credible sets in restricted parameter space problems and lower bounds for frequentist coverage

Abstract

For estimating a lower bounded parametric function in the framework of Marchand and Strawderman (2006), we provide "through" a unified approach a class of Bayesian confidence intervals with credibility 1α1-\alpha and frequentist coverage probability bounded below by 1α1+α\frac{1-\alpha}{1+\alpha}. In cases where the underlying pivotal distribution is symmetric, the findings represent extensions with respect to the specification of the credible set achieved through the choice of a {\it spending function}, and including Marchand and Strawderman's HPD procedure result. More significantly for non-symmetric cases, the lower bound 1α1+α\frac{1-\alpha}{1+\alpha} finding, although not applicable to the HPD procedure, is novel. Several examples are presented demonstrating wide applicability.

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