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Analysis of elliptical copula correlation factor model with Kendall's tau

Abstract

We study a factor model for the correlation matrix Σ\RRd×d\Sigma\in\RR^{d\times d} of an elliptical copula. The correlations are connected to Kendall's tau and a natural estimation procedure is to plug-in Kendall's tau statistics. The resulting matrix \whΣ\wh \Sigma can be viewed as a preliminary estimator of Σ\Sigma and we obtain sharp bound on the operator norm of \whΣΣ\wh \Sigma - \Sigma. We propose a refined estimator Σ~\widetilde{\Sigma} of Σ\Sigma by fitting a low-rank matrix plus a diagonal matrix to \whΣ\wh \Sigma using least squares with a nuclear norm penalty on the low-rank matrix. We obtain finite sample oracle inequalities for Σ~\widetilde{\Sigma}. In addition, we present two estimators based on suitably truncated eigen-decompositions of \whΣ\wh\Sigma, one for an elementary factor model and the other for the regime where dd is proportional to the sample size.

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